Penn State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
63  Jillian Hunsberger SR 19:46
108  Alison Willingmyre FR 19:59
117  Kathryn Munks SO 20:01
138  Greta Lindsley JR 20:06
256  Danae Rivers FR 20:25
682  Lisa Bennatan SR 21:06
1,075  Noemie Noullet JR 21:33
1,208  Victoria Crawford JR 21:41
1,294  Grace Trucilla SO 21:47
1,371  Julia Guerra SO 21:52
2,481  Marisa Deichert SO 23:14
National Rank #13 of 348
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #1 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 97.8%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 21.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 71.7%


Regional Champion 51.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jillian Hunsberger Alison Willingmyre Kathryn Munks Greta Lindsley Danae Rivers Lisa Bennatan Noemie Noullet Victoria Crawford Grace Trucilla Julia Guerra Marisa Deichert
OSU Cowboy Jamboree (Orange) 09/30 484 19:59 20:03 20:03 20:05 20:32 21:22 21:43 21:30 21:11 23:23
Penn State National Open 10/13 406 19:47 19:59 19:49 20:02 20:29 20:46 21:24 21:38 21:54 22:29 23:04
Big Ten Championship 10/29 419 19:36 19:56 19:57 20:07 20:30 21:04 22:03 21:47
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 349 19:48 19:57 19:58 20:04 20:00 21:05 21:37





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 97.8% 16.2 443 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.3 2.8 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.2 5.7 5.7 5.3 6.0 4.7 4.8 4.4 4.8 3.8 3.5 3.7 3.8 2.6 2.8 2.7 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.6 0.7
Region Championship 100% 1.6 53 51.4 37.0 9.8 1.7 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jillian Hunsberger 99.5% 65.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.8
Alison Willingmyre 98.2% 99.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Kathryn Munks 98.2% 103.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Greta Lindsley 98.0% 121.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Danae Rivers 97.8% 172.2
Lisa Bennatan 97.8% 237.4
Noemie Noullet 97.8% 248.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jillian Hunsberger 1.8 34.9 19.4 12.8 7.9 6.4 4.2 3.8 2.2 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Alison Willingmyre 6.1 6.2 8.9 10.3 9.7 7.0 7.4 7.7 5.4 5.0 4.3 4.0 4.3 2.3 3.2 3.1 2.6 1.2 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5
Kathryn Munks 6.3 4.0 8.7 10.0 9.0 8.4 8.0 7.3 6.0 5.4 4.1 3.9 3.4 3.3 2.6 2.3 2.6 2.5 1.4 1.2 1.4 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.3
Greta Lindsley 9.3 1.7 3.7 5.6 5.9 6.9 7.0 5.6 6.5 5.5 5.5 4.2 5.6 5.0 3.2 3.7 3.0 3.0 2.5 1.9 1.9 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.2
Danae Rivers 20.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.5 2.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.7 3.9 3.1 3.5 4.5 3.7 3.8 4.4 4.1 4.5 3.7 4.0 3.4
Lisa Bennatan 53.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3
Noemie Noullet 84.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 51.4% 100.0% 51.4 51.4 1
2 37.0% 100.0% 37.0 37.0 2
3 9.8% 83.2% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.7 8.2 3
4 1.7% 75.8% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 4
5 0.2% 25.0% 0.1 0.2 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 97.8% 51.4 37.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.7 2.2 88.4 9.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 90.1% 1.0 0.9
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Dartmouth 21.2% 1.0 0.2
Cornell 13.1% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma State 12.1% 2.0 0.2
Princeton 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.0
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 7.0